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Keywords: production forecasting
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Proceedings Papers
Production Forecast Using Produced Water Production for Wells Producing Tight/Shale Reservoirs
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference and Exhibition, March 12–13, 2025
Paper Number: SPE-223981-MS
... petroleum play type history energy economics gas well recovery hydrocarbon fracture produced water production oil shale rock type shale oil mudstone oil well testing result geology mudrock production forecasting specialized plot production condition data quality production history...
Proceedings Papers
Deep Learning-Based Production Forecasting for Liquid-Rich Gas in the Duvernay Shale Play
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference and Exhibition, March 12–13, 2025
Paper Number: SPE-224009-MS
... forecasting the newly developed well extremely challenging compared to traditional methods. Our previous work successfully applied a deep learning-based production forecasting model to the Montney shale gas play. However, Duvernay shale play exhibits significant variability in gas and liquid production...
Proceedings Papers
A Quick Decline Method for Forecasting Multiple Wells Using Sparse Functional Principal Component Analysis
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference and Exhibition, March 13–14, 2024
Paper Number: SPE-218078-MS
... Abstract Accurate production forecasting for multiple wells that have both sparse and irregular measurements concurrently is a challenging task. Type-well analysis is commonly employed to model the average decline behavior of a group of wells from empirical relationships. The modeled type-well...
Proceedings Papers
Introducing a New Hybrid Data-Physics Architecture for Production Forecasting in Unconventional Wells
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference and Exhibition, March 13–14, 2024
Paper Number: SPE-218111-MS
... equations. This sophisticated approach enables the inclusion of supplementary data, thereby significantly enhancing the precision of production forecasts. As a result, these data points are adeptly employed to derive the model's underlying physical parameters, leading to highly accurate production rate...
Proceedings Papers
Automated Production Forecasting Using a Novel Machine Learning Based Approach
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference and Exhibition, March 15–16, 2023
Paper Number: SPE-212723-MS
... Abstract Production forecasting and hydrocarbon reserve estimation play a major role in production planning and field evaluation. Traditional methods of production forecasting use historical production data and do not account for completion and geolocation attributes that limit their prediction...
Proceedings Papers
Statistical and Machine-Learning Methods Automate Multi-Segment Arps Decline Model Workflow to Forecast Production in Unconventional Reservoirs
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference, March 16–17, 2022
Paper Number: SPE-208884-MS
..., production forecasting using a multi-segment Arps model for all individual wells can be a challenging and time-consuming process. Although popular industry software provide some relief, each approach has its individual limitations. We present a workflow to automate the application of multi-segmented Arps...
Proceedings Papers
Rate-Pseudopressure Deconvolution Enhances Rate-Time Models Production History Matches and Forecasts of Shale Gas Wells
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference, March 16–17, 2022
Paper Number: SPE-208967-MS
... transient testing upstream oil & gas bhp pressure transient analysis artificial intelligence drillstem testing history matching production forecasting reservoir simulation gas rate fracture half-length bhp condition drillstem/well testing time superposition identification deconvolution...
Proceedings Papers
A Novel Procedure for Analyzing Production Decline in Unconventional Reservoirs Using Probability Density Functions
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Canadian Energy Technology Conference, March 16–17, 2022
Paper Number: SPE-208909-MS
... Abstract In the past several decades, traditional decline curve analyses have been widely used as a quick and simple yet efficient method for reserve estimation and production forecasting. Several new models have been proposed since 2000s to address limitations of traditional decline models...
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