The paper presents a practical and simple approach for making vessel response predictions. Features of the procedure include a) predictions which are scaled so to better agree with corresponding true, future values to be measured at the time the predictions apply at; and b) predictions that are assigned an uncertainty measure to reflect a level of confidence. The approach is tested with full-scale data and the obtained results/predictions agree well with measured values. Potentially, the procedure is therefore very useful in future developments of general decision support systems.

Keywords:
marine transportation, iseki prediction, application, decision support system, sea state, uncertainty measure, direct prediction, freight & logistics services, calculation, prediction
Subjects:
Risk Management and Decision-Making, Information Management and Systems, Decision-making processes
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2015. The Society of Naval Architects and Marine Engineers
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