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Risk and decision analysis

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Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Middle East Oil Show, April 3–6, 1993
Paper Number: SPE-25529-MS
... recovery methods and related development strategies may be radically altered by imposition of these constraints. Analysis of key decision points and the risks associated with them may be utilised to assist in the formulation of field development strategies that minimise the impact of uncertainties...
Output from integrated <span class="search-highlight">risk</span> and <span class="search-highlight">decision</span> <span class="search-highlight">analysis</span> (scale management options...
Published: 06 September 2011
Fig. 9 Output from integrated risk and decision analysis (scale management options) on the synthetic field. Results may differ on a field to field basis. More
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 30–October 3, 2001
Paper Number: SPE-71417-MS
... been developed to help pierce the fog and make better decisions. This paper examines practical barriers to effectively using risk-based decision tools and provides guidelines to overcome the barriers. Introduction As risk-based decision analysis has become more widely used, new methods such as real...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Seventh International Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference, May 25–30, 1997
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-97-433
... the response of the pipeline. platform upstream oil &amp; gas protection impact energy offshore pipeline terminal velocity decision support system root engineering ltd surrey risk-based decision analysis pipeline classification frequency marine pipeline coating probability requirement...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, September 6–10, 2003
Paper Number: SPE-84821-MS
... Abstract The concept of decision and risk analysis for economic and engineering applications has become widely accepted in the petroleum industry. However, the actual use of decision and risk analysis tools remains limited, due mostly to complexity of these tools. Moreover, the professional...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 29–October 2, 2002
Paper Number: SPE-77663-MS
... Abstract The titles of papers given at industry conferences over the last couple of years suggest a significant rise in the level of awareness of the potential for decision and risk analysis (D&amp;RA) techniques to impact portfolio-related decisions, from exploration acreage acquisition...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 22–25, 1995
Paper Number: SPE-30690-MS
... artificial intelligence antarctica bopd case base case reservoir characterization upstream oil &amp; gas basin sequential decision analysis iceberg risk management spe 30690 node mexico ross sea gulf npv decision support system platform investment II SPE 30690 Society of Petroleum...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 25–28, 1994
Paper Number: SPE-28345-MS
... to be joining the majors in the international arena. P. 483^ decision support system inflation government asset and portfolio management unemployment dutch disease exploration concession malaysia gabon criteria comparative analysis geologic potential economic risk indonesia petroleum...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition, August 6–8, 2018
Paper Number: SPE-193500-MS
... shut-off treatments. Through expected value and standard deviation of a random variable, Monte Carlo simulation and decision tree analysis, incorporating uncertainty in oil price, production forecast and operating expenses are used to evaluate the expected return and risk associated water and gas shut...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE International Symposium and Exhibition on Formation Damage Control, February 18–20, 2004
Paper Number: SPE-86526-MS
... is evaluated through comparison with traditional waterflood compatibility studies. We also provide an analysis of how state and federal Underground Injection Control (UIC) rules may be used to regulate injection of RO reject brines. The risk analysis study goes beyond classical decision analysis theory...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Europec featured at 79th EAGE Conference and Exhibition, June 12–15, 2017
Paper Number: SPE-185829-MS
... Abstract The motivation for this study is the expected intensification of bid rounds for Brazilian Pre-salt, while adopting the Production Sharing Contracts (PSC). The objective of this work is to present a risk analysis of key parameters (average well production and price) that determine...
Proceedings Papers

Publisher: BHR Group
Paper presented at the 18th International Conference on Multiphase Production Technology, June 7–9, 2017
Paper Number: BHR-2017-425
... monitoring flow assurance challenge artificial intelligence variability risk and uncertainty assessment Decision analysis in multiphase flow: uncertainty, risk and application B L Keinath ExxonMobil URC, USA 1 ABSTRACT Risk and uncertainty play an important role in design and operation of complex oil...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 16th World Petroleum Congress, June 11–15, 2000
Paper Number: WPC-30436
... business plan, which permits enhanced, near-realtime decision making. Using economic models, "what if" risk analysis scenarios, and up-to-the-day information, a realistic snapshot of a company's operations can be created. Unlike an annual budget, which is static, a living business plan is routinely updated...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Mediterranean Conference and Exhibition, March 23–25, 2011
Paper Number: OMC-2011-091
... loss 1 DECISION MODEL AND RISK ANALYSIS FOR MULTILATERAL COMPLETION DESIGN IN A CHALLENGING DEEPWATER WELL IN ITALY C. Repetto, C. Sanasi, S. Di Vincenzo, C. Cordeddu, G. Ricci Maccarini, M. Tufo, eni e&p, J. Michelez, N. Rossi, kwantis This paper was presented at the 10th Offshore Mediterranean...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE/IADC Drilling Conference and Exhibition, March 1–3, 2011
Paper Number: SPE-139628-MS
... and present results of the risk analysis performed to support managers decision in selecting the most efficient solution regarding drilling and completion operations of a challenging well. The well under study is a subsea well located offshore in the Adriatic Sea. It will be drilled and completed...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the North Africa Technical Conference and Exhibition, February 14–17, 2010
Paper Number: SPE-126845-MS
... of the decision tree is the branch (option or scenario) which has the highest PE value (see figure 5 ). Sensitivity analysis could be performed on the chosen scenario. This can be also done throughout the decision analysis software. It is the stage to summarize the entire process of risk analysis...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2009
Paper Number: OTC-20302-MS
... offshore. The studies gave greater confidence to continue pursuing the SSPL option as an alternate to the trestle. 4. Risk Assessment: a. July 2005: Board approval for 3rd party formal decision analysis process to assess the viability of the loading system, b. December 2005: Viability of the base case...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 1–3, 2007
Paper Number: SPE-107704-MS
... of the field progresses, well and seismic data become available and the risk level of the project changes. In this paper we demonstrate a decision and risk analysis (DRA) method that minimizes the subjectivity in the evaluation and that can be consistently updated as the life of the field progresses. We use...

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