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Production forecasting in the financial markets

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Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Annual Technical Meeting, May 7–10, 1979
Paper Number: PETSOC-79-30-22
... model cap- able of simulating the corporate organization can be a valuable management tool. A suitable model will provide better and highly flexible forecasting ability, allowing management to evaluate the effect on future financial performance of changes in busi- ness environment and business...
Journal Articles
J Pet Technol 74 (03): 6–7.
Paper Number: SPE-0322-0006-JPT
Published: 01 March 2022
... Administration (EIA) Short Term Energy Outlook for February 2022 forecasts that US oil production will rise to 12.0 and 12.6 million B/D in 2022 and 2023, respectively. The latter would be the highest level ever reached, exceeding the previous record in 2019 by 0.3 million B/D. In their fourth-quarter...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 9–12, 2005
Paper Number: SPE-97011-MS
... taxonomy flexibility asset value production uncertainty risk management laughton scenario tree asset and portfolio management production profile simulation machine learning artificial intelligence valuation price forecast upstream oil & gas valuation method forecast financial market...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Kuwait Oil & Gas Show and Conference, October 13–16, 2019
Paper Number: SPE-198006-MS
... to reduce production costs, emissions and ensure a low maintenance operational strategy is in place as well as a low carbon strategy. (Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA), 2019). The financial savings above are forecast to increase with decreased requirements for high cost operational maintenance...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition, August 2–4, 2021
Paper Number: SPE-207152-MS
... degree since mid-2000s. Among a few financial factors, theoretical assumption has been shown as a significant determinant of the cost for a product [ Kaufmann and Ullman, 2009 ]. Studies have additionally shown the job of theory in the oil market [ Cifarelli and Paladino, 2010 , Lammerding et al., 2013...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition, July 31–August 2, 2017
Paper Number: SPE-189059-MS
..., the financial capability of all citizens in purchasing such utility products. When natural gas is fully developed along its value chain for national development, the consequences are vibrant and stable economy coupled with industrial growth. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to examine the natural gas...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 31–November 2, 1984
Paper Number: SPE-13359-MS
... in the market. The profitability of each market segment, given industry activity, is readily available. Geographic segmentation was always used because of the Company's organizational structure, but seldom before had profitability by depth range been analyzed. Revisions to budgets and financial forecasts...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Canadian International Petroleum Conference, June 8–10, 2004
Paper Number: PETSOC-2004-295
... to future cash- flows. There are two characteristics of cash-flows that help to determine financial market prices: 1) timing; and 2) uncertainty. Asset cash-flow At source DCF 1-point forecasts Simple DCF decision trees DCF simple scenarios Special asset discount rates DCF simulation Adjusted present value...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE International Conference and Exhibition on Health, Safety, Environment, and Sustainability, July 27–30, 2020
Paper Number: SPE-199493-MS
... statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements are identified by their use of terms...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 25–28, 1994
Paper Number: SPE-28330-MS
... market analysis supply and demand forecasting futures contract production monitoring realization volatility upstream oil & gas contract reservoir surveillance projection spe 28330 commodity price production prediction uncertainty supply and demand pricing production control price risk...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 26–29, 2004
Paper Number: SPE-91055-MS
... by considering the option to have mixed appraisal and production drilling programmes before and after sanction. forward price market analysis discounting financial market appraisal upstream oil & gas asset cash-flow banking & finance asset and portfolio management risk discounting risk...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Rocky Mountain Regional Meeting, April 10–12, 1972
Paper Number: SPE-3826-MS
... to be followed. The details are not spelled out. References and illustrations at end of paper. PROPERTY EVALUATION This is the first step of any evaluation of an oil and gas company. To arrive at a fair market value of its properties, the reserves of oil and gas are estimated and a reasonable production forecast...
Journal Articles
J Pet Technol 71 (12): 12.
Paper Number: SPE-1219-0012-JPT
Published: 01 December 2019
...John Donnelly Editor's column US crude oil production will reach a record level of 12.29 million B/D in 2019, increasing faster than expected both this year and in 2020, according to the latest US Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecast. Output will rise to 13.29 million B/D next year...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 14th ISRM Congress, September 13–18, 2019
Paper Number: ISRM-14CONGRESS-2019-025
... Abstract There are various services and instrumental - methodical means of geodynamic monitoring and forecasting of the state of the massif are in mining enterprises working out deposits at great depths. For companies, especially in a market economy and a constant desire to maximize profits...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 22–26, 1985
Paper Number: SPE-14154-MS
... for reinvestment into capital expenditures or for debt reduction. Financing surpluses increase actual cash available. Financing requirements are satisfied through increased short term debt and reductions in cash and marketable securities. ANALYSIS OF EXAMPLES The forecasted year end financial positions of Illiquid...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 24–27, 2006
Paper Number: SPE-103178-MS
... decision tree learning risk adjustment asset manager bitumen Upstream Oil & Gas steam injection Computation complex reservoir information complete decision-tree analysis machine learning risk management asset life cycle equation 1 financial market longstaff-schwartz method forecast...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the ASSE Professional Development Conference and Exhibition, June 28–July 1, 2009
Paper Number: ASSE-09-514
... and implementation, competitive edge, marketing strategy, sales strategy, sales forecast and industry analysis. Identifies major customer projects or programs and defines the plans to make them a success. The plan provides extensive financial information: Profit and loss, projected cash flow, cash flow...
Journal Articles
J Pet Technol 72 (05): 25–29.
Paper Number: SPE-0520-0025-JPT
Published: 01 May 2020
... as the market was beginning to look up after some operators had cut costs by more than 50% since 2016, and industry executives and analysts were forecasting annualized revenue growth of 9% from 2019 to 2023. “We’re only thinking about survival now,” said the chief financial officer of one Scandinavian offshore...
Journal Articles
J Can Pet Technol 35 (08).
Paper Number: PETSOC-96-08-04
Published: 01 August 1996
... for an integrated continental market in natural gas. In such an environment, there may be occasional opportunities for producers and marketers to use gas storage and financial market instruments in price risk management or arbitrage. In this paper, we will examine expected returns from a natural gas storage...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE/AAPG/SEG Unconventional Resources Technology Conference, August 12–14, 2013
Paper Number: URTEC-1619857-MS
...). This in turn has focused on the production metrics of the play, with a great deal of attention paid to how to characterize the production history, and more importantly, to forecast future production, with the resultant reserve projections and financial metrics dependent on the type of decline curve chosen...

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