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Proceedings Papers

Don't Drop the Anchor: Recognizing and Mitigating Human Factors When Making Assessment Judgments Under Uncertainty

M. A. Sykes, M. B Welsh, S. H Begg
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 30–November 2, 2011
Paper Number: SPE-146230-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/146230-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Human Decision-Making in the Oil and Gas Industry

S. I. Mackie, S. H. Begg, C. Smith, M. B. Welsh
Paper presented at the SPE Asia Pacific Oil and Gas Conference and Exhibition, October 18–20, 2010
Paper Number: SPE-131144-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/131144-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Valuation of Swing Contracts by Least-Squares Monte Carlo Simulation

B. J. Willigers, S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold
Paper presented at the SPE Asia Pacific Oil and Gas Conference and Exhibition, October 18–20, 2010
Paper Number: SPE-133044-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/133044-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Don't Let It Weigh You Down: How To Benefit From Anchoring

M. B. Welsh, S. H. Begg
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 19–22, 2010
Paper Number: SPE-135538-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/135538-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Repeated Judgment Elicitation: Tapping the Wisdom of Crowds in Individuals

M. B. Welsh, S. H. Begg
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 4–7, 2009
Paper Number: SPE-125124-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/125124-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Modeling the Economic Impact of Individual and Corporate Risk Attitude

M. B. Welsh, S. H. Begg
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 21–24, 2008
Paper Number: SPE-116610-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/116610-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Systematic Prediction Errors in O&G Project and Portfolio Selection

S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 21–24, 2008
Paper Number: SPE-116525-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/116525-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Cognitive Errors in Estimation: Does Anchoring Cause Overconfidence?

A. B. Heywood-Smith, M. B. Welsh, S. H. Begg
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 21–24, 2008
Paper Number: SPE-116612-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/116612-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Sensitivity of Project Economics to Uncertainty in Type and Parameters of Oil Price Models

S. H. Begg, N. Smit
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, November 11–14, 2007
Paper Number: SPE-110812-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/110812-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Modeling the Economic Impact of Cognitive Biases on Oil and Gas Decisions

M. B. Welsh, S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, November 11–14, 2007
Paper Number: SPE-110765-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/110765-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Education for the Real World: Equipping Petroleum Engineers To Manage Uncertainty

R. B. Bratvold, S. H. Begg
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 24–27, 2006
Paper Number: SPE-103339-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/103339-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Correcting Common Errors in Probabilistic Evaluations: Efficacy of Debiasing

M. B. Welsh, S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 24–27, 2006
Paper Number: SPE-102188-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/102188-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Cognitive Biases in the Petroleum Industry: Impact and Remediation

M. B. Welsh, R. B. Bratvold, S. H. Begg
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 9–12, 2005
Paper Number: SPE-96423-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/96423-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Problems with the Elicitation of Uncertainty

M. B. Welsh, S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold, M. D. Lee
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 26–29, 2004
Paper Number: SPE-90338-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/90338-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Development as the Continuation of Appraisal By Other Means

D. Laughton, David Laughton, R. B. Bratvold, S. H. Begg, J. M. Campbell
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 26–29, 2004
Paper Number: SPE-91055-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/91055-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Abandonment Decisions and the Value of Flexibility

S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold, J. M. Campbell
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 26–29, 2004
Paper Number: SPE-91131-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/91131-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Shrinks or Quants: Who Will Improve Decision-Making

S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold, J. M. Campbell
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 5–8, 2003
Paper Number: SPE-84238-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/84238-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Would You Know a Good Decision if You Saw One?

R. B. Bratvold, S. H. Begg, J. M. Campbell
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 29–October 2, 2002
Paper Number: SPE-77509-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/77509-MS
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Proceedings Papers

Improving Investment Decisions Using a Stochastic Integrated Asset Model

S. H. Begg, R. B. Bratvold, J. M. Campbell
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 30–October 3, 2001
Paper Number: SPE-71414-MS
https://doi.org/10.2118/71414-MS
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Journal Articles

Characterization of a Complex Fluvial-Deltaic Reservoir for Simulation

S. H. Begg, Alex Kay, E. R. Gustason, P. F. Angert
Journal: SPE Formation Evaluation
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
SPE Form Eval 11 (03): 147–154.
Paper Number: SPE-28398-PA
https://doi.org/10.2118/28398-PA
Published: 01 September 1996
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