On Error Calculation and Use of First-Order Error Propagation as Integral Part of Petrophysical Calculation
- Stein Ottar Stalheim (Statoil ASA)
- Document ID
- Society of Petrophysicists and Well-Log Analysts
- Publication Date
- October 2016
- Document Type
- Journal Paper
- 465 - 478
- 2016. Society of Petrophysicists & Well Log Analysts
- 2 in the last 30 days
- 127 since 2007
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This paper is based on the view that the calculation of error is an essential part of measurements and scientific calculations, and that it should be an integral part of petrophysical calculations. Presentation of error in petrophysical results is rarely applied in formation evaluation and reservoir characterization. Calculation of petrophysical error is commonly executed for input to the geostatistics, but often only after the petrophysical calculation is completed. Sometimes the calculation of petrophysical error is excluded altogether. Petrophysical results should include traceable and quantifiable error.
The motivation of this paper is to show that quantification of error can easily be integrated to the petrophysical results by including the first-order error propagation (FOEP) method as a part of the computer script that gives the petrophysical results. Error in the petrophysical results is related to the models used and error in model input. Calculation of petrophysical error involves understanding how the input error propagates through the functions to the end product. A commonly used method is Monte Carlo, while FOEP is less used. Different views exist with respect to needs, pros and cons for the various methods, but there also are some doubts regarding limitations around the use of FOEP. The FOEP solution is the chosen method in this paper because it is an analytical and more practical solution related to implementation into the script that computes the petrophysical results.
This paper includes an introduction to the theory of FOEP in matrix form and contains examples that illustrate the application of petrophysical functions. The mathematics shows how dependencies between variables and asymmetrical distributions are included in calculation of error. The mathematics, graphical user interfaces (GUI), and plot functionalities are scripted with the use of Python. An example of a GUI for petrophysical input, and example plots including presentation of the error and error propagation, are also presented.
The purpose of this paper is to increase the focus on petrophysical error calculations, and to demonstrate the advantages of error propagation as a standard part of the petrophysical results. The mathematical formulation in matrix form, which makes the computer script simpler and the computation faster, and allows the implementation of asymmetrical distributions, is not observed in the petrophysical literature.
|File Size||9 MB||Number of Pages||14|