Development of water coning in naturally fractured reservoirs and the issues of critical rates and cone breakthrough times are examined in terms of appropriate reservoir properties. A correlation is proposed to account for fracture acceleration effects in the computation of critical rates and the breakthrough times for uniformly distributed fractures. For a fractured systems with non-uniform fracture distribution, cone development is asymmetrical and the concept of partial completion to prevent coning becomes inapplicable. As such, for heterogeneously fractured reservoirs, estimation of critical rate and breakthrough time requires modeling with an understanding of fracture pattern around the producing wells.

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