Multi-stage fractured horizontal wells (MFHW) in unconventional resource plays often present formidable reservoir management challenges, particularly with regard to capital utilization and allocation. In this study, well performance histories of some 74 wells in the Montney siltstone play were investigated with a common and consistent analytical framework. Parameters determined from the analyses are key indicators of the combined result of reservoir quality and hydraulic fracture performance (subsurface and completions). The analytical approach utilized in this study was then used to provide robust physics-based forecasts that directly recognize and incorporate interpretation non-uniqueness. Through a forecasting regimen that explicitly provides expected ranges of results, insights and conclusions in field optimization, well spacing and completions design have been drawn.

A real distribution of well productivity and predicted recovery enabled identification of "sweet spots". Openhole completions technique did not show poorer performance compared to limited entry style completions, though further evaluation and surveillance would seem warranted. Wells that were flowing under a "high-drawdown" showed a lower productivity, higher completion resistance (skin) to flow, and lowest predicted final recovery.

Wells completed at 50 m fracture spacing and 30 tonnes of proppant per cluster performed similarly to 100 m spacing and 60 tonnes per cluster, suggesting no apparent difference in capital efficiency between these two completion styles. Results indicate that the frac half lengths in the 50 m cluster spacing wells are shorter compared to wells with 100 m cluster spacing (based on the reduction in the amount of proppant pumped per cluster). Trends of estimated original gas-in-place inside the SRV and predicted 30-year recovery for wells drilled at close well spacings, (closer than 400 m between wellbores) indicate effects of inter-well interference. Performance of wells at 200 m well spacing seem to be affected the most by inter-well interference.

A consistent workflow for analyzing well performance and predicting future performance of MFHW in unconventional gas wells is presented that provides a means to assess the impact of business and development decisions and determining practices worth replicating across the Montney play.

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