Abstract
The article is devoted to the search of ways how to verify existing geological and hydrodynamic models and to improve the quality of forecasting the production indicators at the field. The fact is that experience and practical applications show how often we make mistakes, making preliminary calculations of well production rates and general rates for deposits, even for a near future. However, the use of all the information, that we can get during the reservoir development, can increase the level of accuracy in the forecast calculations and show the actual picture of the potential for any field in particular.
The erroneousness of forecasting is more connected with the uncertainties of the geological formation structure. The use of additional initial data, and the accounting of the current information, obtained from the results of wells testing, can answer the most important question with a high level of probability, when we need to choose the correct hydrodynamic model of a field. This article shows an example of an approach, that allowed us to explain in the real field conditions, how to select among of existing well-matched to the history models the only one, that is the most correct.