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Keywords: prospect
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Proceedings Papers
Trust, But Verify: Maximizing Bluefield Value by Challenging the Engineering Assumptions
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179961-MS
... Abstract The paper discusses a novel workflow and tools for stochastic optimization under uncertainty aimed at maximizing the value of exploration and early appraisal assets using a public example of an East Africa offshore gas discovery. Following an initial discovery well, the prospect...
Proceedings Papers
An Investigation into Uncertainty Correlation in Resource Plays
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179974-MS
... correlation complex reservoir cash flow Energy Economics Upstream Oil & Gas uncorrelated case uncertainty correlation reduction prospect cost uncertainty unconventional play society of petroleum engineers frac stage investigation resource play Scenario type curve forecast History...
Proceedings Papers
Optimized Exploration Planning
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179951-MS
... & Gas value assessment portfolio optimization constraint optimized exploration planning dependency machine learning Portfolio analysis cash flow prospect hydrocarbon Exploration Opportunity exploration portfolio asset and portfolio management portfolio assessment evaluation exploration...
Proceedings Papers
Valuation of Prospective Resources - A Portfolio Approach
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179954-MS
.... These short cuts often ignore any correlation or dependency between the chances of success for prospects in the portfolio. In undeveloped or immature areas, the commercial and development synergies and dependencies can also have a very significant impact on the ultimate expected value. These short cut...
Proceedings Papers
Impact of Geological and Facility Uncertainties on Strategic Drilling and Facility Decisions
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 19–20, 2014
Paper Number: SPE-169878-MS
... Oil & Gas prospect development case production well production profile base development case Drilling structural geology base case npv Chinarevskoye field producer production case development case base case The company has therefore five "geological plays 1 ", each of which...
Proceedings Papers
Technical and Economic Evaluation of Hydrocarbon Prospects Offshore Uruguay and the Challenge of Maximizing Rent from Exploration to Production Phases through Local Content
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 19–20, 2014
Paper Number: SPE-169823-MS
... stage of exploration, and the eventual phases of appraisal, development and production offshore Uruguay. The technical and economic evaluation applied to a portfolio of offshore prospects models the level of expenditures and investment from exploration to production. The assessment of the potential...
Proceedings Papers
A Stochastic Techno-Economic Model for Multi-Target Exploratory Prospects, Including Tax Implications of Purchase Price
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 19–20, 2014
Paper Number: SPE-169848-MS
... The simplest type of deterministic analysis of a prospect may include a single estimate of likely reservoir area, a volume of oil or gas per unit area, a recovery factor, and a POS. A single production forecast would be constructed, along with a single estimate of exploration and development...
Proceedings Papers
A Management Decision Tool for Ranking Oil Sands Resource Development Opportunities
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 19–20, 2014
Paper Number: SPE-169855-MS
... sections, defined prospects, wellpad drainage areas, or at the individual (delineation) well level. Predictive analytics techniques, in this case multi-variable linear regression, were used to construct the model. It was initially based on thermal recovery theoretical models for the SAGD process...
Proceedings Papers
Integrating the Subsurface and the Commercial: A New Look at Monte Carlo and Decision Tree Analysis
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, September 24–25, 2012
Paper Number: SPE-162883-MS
... prospect decision tree analysis information workflow spe 162883 Introduction A brief search on the term "stochastic reservoir modeling" in the SPE OnePetro database yields over 3,500 papers and articles. The first papers appear in the late 1950's and 1960's and the numbers have increased almost...
Proceedings Papers
Reining In the Data Junkies -- Having the Guts Not to Appraise
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, September 24–25, 2012
Paper Number: SPE-162903-MS
... reference recovery reservoir characterization spe 162903 assessment strategic planning and management upstream oil & gas development well prospect development plan earth model artificial intelligence information recovery reliability reference case voi analysis voi assessment perfect...
Proceedings Papers
Optimizer's Curse: Removing the Effect of this Bias in Portfolio Planning
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 1–3, 2007
Paper Number: SPE-107852-MS
... (Capen, Clapp and Campbell, 1971) experienced in competitive bidding and how it affects bid optimization. portfolio optimization information true value Artificial Intelligence Upstream Oil & Gas prospect lognormal distribution judgment machine learning Portfolio analysis assessment...
Proceedings Papers
The Use of Risk Adjusted Values in Exploration Portfolio Management
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 3–5, 2005
Paper Number: SPE-94586-MS
... working interest participant owi country risk evaluation portfolio optimization strategic planning and management working interest risk tolerance prospect evaluation parameter farminee pvf art rav owi variance value uncertainty spe 94586 chance factor art rev risk adjusted value...
Proceedings Papers
An Approach for Characterizing Your Portfolio
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 5–8, 2003
Paper Number: SPE-82010-MS
... project originator contribution typecase selection significant amount portfolio manager portfolio analysis capital allocation granularity business unit multi-scenario economics threshold spe 82010 portfolio optimization portfolio prospect metric asset and portfolio management upstream...
Proceedings Papers
Integrated Prospect Portfolio Management for 3D Seismic Volumes Combining Geologic, Engineering, and Economic Risk
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 5–8, 2003
Paper Number: SPE-82017-MS
... prospect portfolio by assigning probability distributions to geological, engineering, and economical characteristics. Monte Carlo simulation was also applied so that uncertainty could be modeled for probabilistic input values. Finally, an efficient frontier analysis was generated by building optimal...
Proceedings Papers
Analyzing the Sensitivity of Production Sharing Contract Terms Using Simulation
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 5–8, 2003
Paper Number: SPE-82016-MS
... evaluation government gross revenue profit split contractor group regime threshold mechanism equatorial guinean psc scenario prospect Introduction The potential development scenarios are distinguished by the peak throughput that the facility can handle. In the smallest case the facility...
Proceedings Papers
Probabilistic Prospect Evaluation With Spreadsheets
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 2–3, 2001
Paper Number: SPE-68594-MS
... Abstract This case history describes the creation of a spreadsheet-based, Monte-Carlo economic model for exploration prospects. Looking at "probabilistic economics" instead of "probabilistic reserves" allows decision-makers a better understanding of the potential outcomes associated...
Proceedings Papers
Risk Management for the Development of an Offshore Prospect
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, March 21–23, 1999
Paper Number: SPE-52975-MS
... The estimated oil production and the associated exploration, capital and drilling costs for the base case are provided in Table 7 . The OpEx are also presented in this table. The base case economic potential of this prospect indicated an IRR of 10%. Other economic measures are shown in Table 3...
Proceedings Papers
Scenario Selection for Valuation of Multiple Prospect Opportunities: A Monte Carlo Play Simulation Approach
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, March 21–23, 1999
Paper Number: SPE-52977-MS
... Abstract This paper describes an approach for simulating and appropriately valuing complex E&P projects containing multiple prospects. The approach uses a Monte Carlo simulation model, which is described, that simulates a play containing multiple prospects. The play evaluated can consist...
Proceedings Papers
Economics and Resource Uncertainty: The 1002 Area of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, March 21–23, 1999
Paper Number: SPE-52948-MS
... government assessor prospect arctic national wildlife refuge increment accumulation reserves evaluation united states government attanasi and schuenemeyer spe 52948 discovery area economics and resource uncertainty fractile Introduction Undiscovered oil estimates are commonly presented...
Proceedings Papers
Measuring the Impact of 3-D Seismic on Business Performance
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, March 21–23, 1999
Paper Number: SPE-52970-MS
... for measuring the impact of emerging technologies. exploration performance revision eqorwvgf heterogeneity survey area ikxgp upstream oil & gas amoco prospect probability exploration excellence reservoir characterization society of petroleum engineers artificial intelligence joint...
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