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Keywords: lognormal distribution
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Proceedings Papers
Unconventional Risk and Uncertainty: Show Me What Success Looks Like
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179996-MS
... quality decisions. risk management project valuation unconventional resource economics type well distribution pilot program Pilot Effectiveness Energy Economics asset and portfolio management complex reservoir reserves evaluation information type well lognormal distribution machine...
Proceedings Papers
Maximising the Value of Unconventional Reservoirs by Choosing the Optimal Appraisal Strategy
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179960-MS
...-parametric distribution will accurately represent the relevant uncertainties. We can then use the specific data from the Montney field to inform the assessment of the distribution parameters. In this work, we will demonstrate a Bayesian approach using both normal and lognormal distributions...
Proceedings Papers
A Probabilistic Approach to Shale Gas Economics
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 1–3, 2007
Paper Number: SPE-108053-MS
... estimations for each basin under evaluation were derived from data known for that specific area or from established plays, such as Fort Worth Barnett. Lognormal distributions were defined to capture the upside and downside volumes. Similar estimations were implemented for recovery factor with an associated...
Proceedings Papers
Optimizer's Curse: Removing the Effect of this Bias in Portfolio Planning
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 1–3, 2007
Paper Number: SPE-107852-MS
... (Capen, Clapp and Campbell, 1971) experienced in competitive bidding and how it affects bid optimization. portfolio optimization information true value Artificial Intelligence Upstream Oil & Gas prospect lognormal distribution judgment machine learning Portfolio analysis assessment...
Proceedings Papers
Deterministic Versus Probabilistic Volume Estimates for Reservoirs Without a Known Downdip Limit
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, March 21–23, 1999
Paper Number: SPE-52945-MS
..., the additional proved reserves using probabilistic methods were significant. The uniform distribution resulted in the smallest increase, but still was 62% higher than estimate using deterministic method. The oft-used lognormal distribution yielded a 71% increase in the proved reserves. The uniform distribution...
Proceedings Papers
Statistical Analysis of the Size Distribution of Oil And Gas Fields
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the Symposium on Petroleum Economics and Evaluation, February 8–9, 1965
Paper Number: SPE-1096-MS
... the probability dis- My purpose here is fourfold: (1) to show how to verify whether or not the Lognormal distribution pro- For convenience we shall call a hydrocarbon deposit a ''pool" or a "field", even though the terms differ in usage in that a new ''pool" can be found within an already discovered "field...