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Keywords: Bayesian Inference
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Proceedings Papers
Unconventional Risk and Uncertainty: Show Me What Success Looks Like
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179996-MS
... learning Project economics estimates of resource in place resource in place estimate variance threshold well distribution Artificial Intelligence Bayesian Inference risk tolerance probability development failure Upstream Oil & Gas well population Bayesian method development outcome type...
Proceedings Papers
Evolution of Uncertainty Methods in Decline Curve Analysis
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179980-MS
... a black-box method is instead a natural and automated extension of well-accepted techniques, and the few published studies of the technique suggest that it may be robust, particularly over the scale of years. Artificial Intelligence Bayesian Inference machine learning forecasting uncertainty...
Proceedings Papers
Maximising the Value of Unconventional Reservoirs by Choosing the Optimal Appraisal Strategy
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE/IAEE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 17–18, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-179960-MS
... economics information production data Energy Economics Bayesian Inference cumulative production Montney formation ultimate recovery machine learning reliability appraisal strategy lognormally appraisal well reservoir Upstream Oil & Gas production period mean eur appraisal programme...
Proceedings Papers
Assessing Value of Test Wells in Developing an Unconventional Play – Decision Entropy Theory
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, May 19–20, 2014
Paper Number: SPE-169847-MS
... Artificial Intelligence analogous play complex reservoir new play frequency good well productive well break-even frequency machine learning Drillstem Testing drillstem/well testing test well perfect information Decision Entropy Theory society of petroleum engineers Bayesian Inference Upstream...
Proceedings Papers
A New Approach to Uncertainty Quantification for Decision Making
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, March 8–9, 2010
Paper Number: SPE-130157-MS
... to biased probability distribution, which in turn may lead to sub-optimal decisions. maximum entropy dependency machine learning probability distribution independence marginal probability mep joint distribution bayesian inference artificial intelligence assessment optimization problem...
Proceedings Papers
Decision and Risk Analysis Through the Life of the Field
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 1–3, 2007
Paper Number: SPE-107704-MS
... investment opportunities. It also allows them to track how the risk level of a project changes through the life of the field. machine learning Bayesian Inference risk management Artificial Intelligence Drillstem Testing Thickness drillstem/well testing risk and uncertainty assessment Upstream...
Proceedings Papers
Optimizing Estimates of Probabilistic Reserves from Production Trends Using a Bayesian Approach
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, April 3–5, 2005
Paper Number: SPE-94886-MS
... covariance matrix information probabilistic reserve production trend bayes theorem machine learning spe 94886 bayesian inference likelihood equation production monitoring posteriori distribution distribution 0 upstream oil & gas society of petroleum engineers optimizing estimate dina...
Proceedings Papers
The Value of a Seismic Option
Available to PurchasePublisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, March 29–30, 1993
Paper Number: SPE-25821-MS
... is a necessity. This paper presents a framework for this valuation. reservoir characterization estimation process reserve size drilling operation risk management probability distribution information maturity hydrocarbon accumulation simulation decision tree bayesian inference assumption random...