Abstract

This paper presents the results of a preliminary investigation of the coalbed methane potential of the Zonguldak Basin in Turkey. A stochastic approach is used in the investigation primarily because of the lack of sufficient data. The results clearly indicate the adequacy and the advantage of the stochastic approach over the deterministic procedures. The Monte Carlo simulation is used to obtain the probability distribution of in-situ and recoverable coalbed methane reserves in the Zonguldak Basin. An economic evaluation of a potential development project is also presented. It is shown that despite the conservative estimates of the reserves, coal bed methane production from the Zonguldak Basin is a feasible project.

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