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Keywords: production forecasting
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Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 3–5, 2023
Paper Number: SPE-215931-MS
... structural geology drillstem testing flow in porous media fold and thrust belt drillstem/well testing reservoir simulation completion installation and operations reservoir surveillance reservoir characterization upstream oil & gas complex reservoir production forecasting geologist production...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 15–17, 2019
Paper Number: SPE-196576-MS
... Abstract Decline curve analysis is widely used in industry to perform production forecasting and to estimate reserves volumes. A useful technique in verifying the validity of a decline model is to estimate the Arps decline parameters, the loss ratio and the b-factor, with respect to time...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE/AAPG Eastern Regional Meeting, October 7–11, 2018
Paper Number: SPE-191788-18ERM-MS
... complex reservoir forecasting accuracy production monitoring shale gas regression training data procedure autocorrelation production history ARMA model decline curve model production control production forecasting reserves evaluation Duong decline curve SSR estimation decline curve...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE/AAPG Eastern Regional Meeting, October 7–11, 2018
Paper Number: SPE-191775-18ERM-MS
... normalization process uncertain parameter model forecast Anderson permeability complex reservoir History fluid property analytical model forecast case history drillstem/well testing production forecasting flow in porous media fluid dynamics drillstem testing case study Introduction...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE/AAPG Eastern Regional Meeting, October 7–11, 2018
Paper Number: SPE-191793-18ERM-MS
... uncertainty in those predictions. Thus, we can obtain production forecasts at P10, P50, and P90, as well as calculate EUR at those same levels, across the spatial domain of the play. To demonstrate the proposed methodology, we used monthly gas flow rates and well locations from the Marcellus shale gas play...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE/AAPG Eastern Regional Meeting, October 7–11, 2018
Paper Number: SPE-191795-18ERM-MS
... production control hydraulic fracturing transition horizontal wellbore Reservoir Surveillance Upstream Oil & Gas Decline Equation production forecasting drillstem/well testing shale multi-fractured horizontal wellbore production monitoring Drillstem Testing diagnostic plot...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, September 13–15, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-184070-MS
... by other complex software and workflows. Artificial Intelligence hyperbolic model production forecasting cumulative production machine learning Upstream Oil & Gas reserves evaluation Duong error function lga model unconventional reservoir permeability shale reservoir boundary...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 13–15, 2015
Paper Number: SPE-177300-MS
... control Reservoir Surveillance machine learning Artificial Intelligence production monitoring shale gas cumulative production best fit parameter Duong model 30-year production rate production forecasting reserves evaluation example 2 cumulative gas production model fit exponential model...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 21–23, 2014
Paper Number: SPE-171012-MS
..., it would be useful to apply a mechanistic (physics based) model for history matching production data and verify the results of decline curve analysis. Artificial Intelligence Upstream Oil & Gas production forecasting reserves evaluation complex reservoir shale gas 2-year data window...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, August 20–22, 2013
Paper Number: SPE-165711-MS
... to the forecasts estimated by decline curve analysis and reservoir simulation. Field examples from Marcellus wells are included in this paper to demonstrate the workflow and results. shale gas transient linear flow production forecasting fracture half length Modeling & Simulation Upstream Oil...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, August 20–22, 2013
Paper Number: SPE-165696-MS
... equations are behind the Arps models; moreover, they related the parameters for the Arps models to reservoir fluid and rock properties. The production forecast model in our study is an Arps empirical model ( Equation 1 ). The parameters of the Arps model (Di and b) are functions of reservoir fluid and rock...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 3–5, 2012
Paper Number: SPE-161335-MS
... warrant increased isolation. Case studies from three shale reservoirs are included to illustrate the production analysis techniques. production control flow in porous media drillstem testing production monitoring completion installation and operations production forecasting upstream oil...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 3–5, 2012
Paper Number: SPE-161092-MS
... the uncertainty of the EUR forecast. production forecasting upstream oil & gas shale gas reserves evaluation machine learning complex reservoir observed production rate excellent agreement example 1 cumulative production shale gas reservoir duong model artificial intelligence estimates...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 3–5, 2012
Paper Number: SPE-161300-MS
... method yields P50 estimates that are more accurate than deterministic estimates at early times. Uncertainty will always be present in production forecasts and reserves estimates and uncertainty can be quite large early in the producing lives of shale gas reservoirs. Reliable quantification...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 13–15, 2010
Paper Number: SPE-139057-MS
... of petroleum engineers decline rate initial gas flow rate predictive tool production monitoring gas flow rate equation total gas flow rate ratio flow rate production control arp reservoir surveillance cumulative gas production reserves evaluation gas production production forecasting...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional/AAPG Eastern Section Joint Meeting, October 11–15, 2008
Paper Number: SPE-117149-MS
... to the production history in the cases studied. machine learning Reservoir Characterization Reservoir Surveillance Artificial Intelligence production monitoring structural geology Upstream Oil & Gas decline period oil reservoir production rate traditional model production forecasting...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, September 14–16, 2005
Paper Number: SPE-98042-MS
... relation upstream oil & gas extrapolation spe 98042 decline type curve analysis production control production monitoring reservoir surveillance resource in place estimate decline constant type curve production forecasting bscf reserves evaluation estimates of resource in place arp...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, September 6–10, 2003
Paper Number: SPE-84814-MS
... conductivity fracture reservoir pressure layer system reservoir bdf curve analysis single layer system fluid dynamics boundary average pressure resource in place estimate estimates of resource in place analysis technique pressure transient testing production forecasting production control...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the SPE Eastern Regional Meeting, October 23–26, 2002
Paper Number: SPE-78695-MS
... & gas reservoir resource in place estimate reservoir simulation production forecasting pressure transient testing hydraulic fracturing pressure transient analysis fluid dynamics estimates of resource in place reservoir surveillance gas rate reserves evaluation complex reservoir production...

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