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Keywords: production forecast
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Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 21–23, 2021
Paper Number: SPE-206192-MS
..., and to generate production forecasts in support of well interventions. The inflow and outflow parameters are directly related to well-known reservoir and well properties, and can be calibrated against common well surveillance and production data. By adopting this approach, engineers develop a better appreciation...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 30–October 2, 2019
Paper Number: SPE-196152-MS
... Steam is injected in the bottom layer. Heat propagates upwards helping lower the viscosity in the top layers which are then water-flooded. Needless to say, the physics behind such recovery process is not trivial. In this paper, production forecasts for this interesting reservoir will be made...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 30–October 2, 2019
Paper Number: SPE-196217-MS
... resource complex reservoir block 67 production forecast heavy oilfield Marañon Basin marañon basin reserves classification block 192 category Peruvian Jungle operator pipeline reserves evaluation pipeline revamp block 64 revamp incentive Introduction The primary recovery factor...
Proceedings Papers
Piyush Pankaj, Ludmila Belyakova, Vadim Isaev, Ivan Velikanov, Denis Bannikov, Leonid Semin, Alexey Tikhonov
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 24–26, 2018
Paper Number: SPE-191422-MS
... hydraulic fracturing production forecast Upstream Oil & Gas transport model Production Result fracture closure slickwater productivity Artificial Intelligence base case 1 slurry transport model fracture overflush fracture geometry proppant distribution hydraulic fracture unconventional...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 24–26, 2018
Paper Number: SPE-191699-MS
... for probabilistic uncertainty analysis of production forecast. Although DoE-based AHM is straightforward in concept, it can be misused in practice because the workflow involves many statistical and modeling principles that should be followed rigorously. In this paper, the entire DoE-based AHM workflow...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 9–11, 2017
Paper Number: SPE-187081-MS
... gradually, avoiding premature level elimination (minimizing convergence at an incorrect solution). In both phases, the matched simulation models presented similar production forecasts to the reference model. The 4D seismic data were included regionally with an acceptable increase in computation time...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 9–11, 2017
Paper Number: SPE-187046-MS
... components, identification of pump requirements, production optimization and cost reduction. Analysis of these outputs leads to an improved understanding of field operation strategies, equipment selection and sizing, and production forecasts. The integrated model uses Inflow Performance Relationships (IPR...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 9–11, 2017
Paper Number: SPE-189283-STU
... response to the pilot waterflood. A secondary independent analysis used an offset operator's Clearfork waterflood as an analog to generate a production forecast using dimensionless curves, and the results confirmed the numerical model forecast. The predicted reservoir response using both methods revealed...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 9–11, 2017
Paper Number: SPE-189298-STU
... of the model uncertainties and its parameterization to stablish the prior ensemble composed by 500 models. After this stage, I applied standard ES-MDA followed by the localization technique which was considered taking into account the area of influence of each well. Then, I conducted production forecast...
Proceedings Papers
Michael Stundner, Georg Zangl, Lisa Neuhofer, David Zabel, Philipp Tippel, Cosmin-Ionut Pantazescu, Vladimir Krcmarik, Andrei Iulian Staicu, Lisa Krenn, Barbara Hachmöller
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 26–28, 2016
Paper Number: SPE-181683-MS
... Upstream Oil & Gas production forecast Engineer logic Artificial Intelligence blind test prediction workover workover candidate knowledge production rate liquid loading rank operation business opportunity automatically Introduction Currently, the existing workflows to select proper...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 28–30, 2015
Paper Number: SPE-175009-MS
...% of the forecast volumes. In other words, the industry production forecasts are significantly optimistic. There are a variety of factors that contribute to the optimistic forecasts. The most important are areal subsurface model grid size, well location optimization workflows, sparse data bias, and “pro-project...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 28–30, 2015
Paper Number: SPE-174941-MS
... composition filtrate PVT measurement Simulation reference fluid workflow contamination OBM filtrate Upstream Oil & Gas PVT property contamination level estimation Stoiip phase envelope pressure transient analysis production forecast society of petroleum engineers fluid sample OBM...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 27–29, 2014
Paper Number: SPE-170723-MS
... Drilling Upstream Oil & Gas Reservoir Surveillance drilling operation multicluster das proppant fracture geometry production control hydraulic fracturing bridge plug fracture initiation horizontal well wellbore production forecast DTS proppant distribution acoustic intensity frac...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 30–October 2, 2013
Paper Number: SPE-166317-MS
.... The production forecast developed at project funding did a very accurate job of predicting average reservoir behavior such as most-likely ultimate recovery and production plateau. However, a more detailed comparison of the pre-production depletion plan and the actual field performance shows significant...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 30–October 2, 2013
Paper Number: SPE-166422-MS
... probabilistic assessment history production control risk and uncertainty assessment probabilistic estimate production forecast database historical data assessor long-term forecast application calibration score forecast short-term forecast student probability database system Introduction...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 30–October 2, 2013
Paper Number: SPE-166176-MS
... production data hydraulic fracturing production forecast fracture half-length modeling & simulation upstream oil & gas spe annual technical conference complex reservoir spe 166176 linear flow barnett shale specialized plot fracture homogeneous completion horizontal well permeability...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 8–10, 2012
Paper Number: SPE-155443-MS
... ultimate recovery and production forecast associated with the chosen development concept. A 2010 upstream industry benchmarking consortium reviewed global performance of E&P projects and concluded that the majority of production forecasts presented at project approval were not attained. In many cases...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 30–November 2, 2011
Paper Number: SPE-145437-MS
... team production forecast assumption accountability appraisal production performance basic data investigation single point shortfall production attainment forecast upstream oil & gas original forecast independent project analysis reservoir data society of petroleum engineers...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, September 21–24, 2008
Paper Number: SPE-115744-MS
... approach. It will be shown how choice of the optimum advanced completion design will reduce the impact of geostatistical uncertainty on the production forecast. Geostatistical realisations of a benchmark reservoir model were generated with a suitable level of data uncertainty. The reservoir was developed...
Proceedings Papers
Publisher: Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, October 9–12, 2005
Paper Number: SPE-95974-MS
... forecasting coverage rate percentile ci bootstrap approach forecast bootstrap realization upstream oil & gas production rate reserves evaluation production control drilling operation management reliability reserves estimation reserve estimation estimation regression production forecast...
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