In the face of escalating climate change and the increasingly erratic daily temperature fluctuations, accurately simulating pipeline systems has become a daunting task. The complexity arises when precision in thermal modeling is crucial, especially for event detection. An illustrative case occurred in a Montana town, where the temperature swung by an astonishing 103 degrees Fahrenheit within a mere 24 hours. The primary challenge lies in developing a dependable thermal model for pipelines while contending with the substantial disturbances caused by fluctuating ambient temperatures. Even a minor shift in ambient temperature can trigger ripple effects throughout the entire system, resulting in inaccurate simulations. In response to this issue, this paper presents an innovative approach: the automatic tuning of model coefficients in real time. This method ensures the continual accuracy of the model, allowing it to adapt to varying conditions. Furthermore, it moves away from the necessity of employing multiple models, each fine-tuned with distinct coefficients, to accommodate diverse environmental circumstances effectively.
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Automatic Tuning of Temperature and Pressure Coefficients on Pipeline Simulation
Vadim Shapiro
Vadim Shapiro
Statistics & Control, Inc.
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Paper presented at the PSIG Annual Meeting, Charleston, South Carolina, May 2024.
Paper Number:
PSIG-2417
Published:
May 07 2024
Citation
Hooker, John, Theis, Daniel, and Vadim Shapiro. "Automatic Tuning of Temperature and Pressure Coefficients on Pipeline Simulation." Paper presented at the PSIG Annual Meeting, Charleston, South Carolina, May 2024.
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