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Keywords: probability
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Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 1–4, 2023
Paper Number: OTC-32195-MS
... components of the assessment. Incorporating the current condition of the assets into the process, the probability of failure subject to the various environmental hazards was thoroughly studied to check conformance against industry acceptable limits using both design level and ultimate strength approaches...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 1–4, 2023
Paper Number: OTC-32428-MS
... are separately predicted by completely independent RNN-LSTM models based on different sets of real-time drilling parameters. These models run as ensemble learning models to continuously predict influx indicators. Then, the prediction results will be quantified, and the probability of kicks will be calculated...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 1–4, 2023
Paper Number: OTC-32457-MS
... of this is that the extreme wave-driven vessel excursions will be large in comparison with the average motion. A marine operation can only be carried out provided the critical variables of response stay below given limits with a sufficiently large probability. To estimate probabilities of limit non-exceedance, simulation...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 1–4, 2023
Paper Number: OTC-32468-MS
... technical report iec 61508 signoret unavailability iso 14224 probability presentation guidance Introduction Management of safety systems often receives high attention due to the potential for industrial accidents ( Selvik and Signoret 2017 ). For the management activity, modelling...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 1–4, 2023
Paper Number: OTC-32464-MS
... equipment pareto frontier multiplexed electrohydraulic system failure mode risk index inspection technique optimal solution fmeca standard plan probability optimization process inspection method Introduction Since its origin, oil and gas offshore facilities deal with the challenge...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31852-MS
... production engineer operation esp damage event artificial intelligence esp list well view webpage probability technology conference esp failure view webpage Introduction The useful life of industrial equipment depends on factors such as the age of the equipment, how frequently it is used...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31853-MS
... of the worst performing pipes. collapse pressure collapse rating individual pipe joint reliability design rating correlation pipe trl probability series system upstream oil & gas th percentile individual pipe percentile estimation strength specimen procedure confidence interval...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31970-MS
... that impose the highest risk on casing failure, (4) acknowledgement of the depths most susceptible to casing failure, (5) prediction of the overall probability of casing failure given the information for pre-defined risk factors, and finally (6) have a scheme for mitigating casing failure. Case-control study...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31718-MS
... operation management risk and uncertainty assessment artificial intelligence us government risk management upstream oil & gas probabilistic risk assessment effective approach application probability simulation knowledge probability distribution sensitivity analysis nasa information...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, August 16–19, 2021
Paper Number: OTC-31057-MS
... paradigm new age proactive approach offshore technology conference consequence risk reduction end user digital tool probability Introduction The reactive approach provides elements which then become parts of the proactive approach. The proactive approach can then provide elements which can...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30659-MS
... process of comparing environmental responses over a range of forcing conditions was performed for four array layouts to demonstrate the methodology laid out in the SEAT. System responses were weighted based on the probability of occurrence of the forcing event (e.g., discharge frequency). This yielded...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30785-MS
... Abstract Oil and gas production applications demand high reliability, which implies low failure probability over the lifetime of the components. The service environments encompass high pressure high temperature (HPHT) conditions inside and seawater with cathodic protection (CP) systems...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30648-MS
... model pump fault state pump state cross validation training data upstream oil & gas probability monitoring hyperparameter fault state different fault state discharge pressure data triplex pump machine learning artificial intelligence loss function accuracy suction Deep...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30710-MS
... to experimentally obtain smooth probability distributions describing stochastic hydrate formation. Robust, repeatable hydrate nucleation and growth rate probability distributions as a function of induction time and subcooling are measured for various gases, shear rates and inhibitor dosages in systems...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29398-MS
... than deterministic analyses alone, both for design and for reevaluation. Managing geotechnical risks should today become a natural part of the engineer's work. method uncertainty characteristic value risk management failure probability annual probability nadim standard deviation risk...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29472-MS
... assessment sil 2 safety capability dangerous failure production system calculation systematic capability probability valve actuator fault tree analysis requirement mitigation failure rate failure mode fmeda Bai , Y. , Bai , Q. ( 2012 ). Subsea Engineering Handbook . Gulf...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29544-MS
... Analysis (PRA) modeling of blowout preventer (BOP) systems. The PRA utilizes a combination of event trees and fault trees to determine the probability of a hazard under a given set of conditions. The fault trees are populated with reliability data from the best available sources. Traditional BOP risk...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29514-MS
... Abstract The paper describes two approaches for deriving the mean, standard deviation and probability density function of the method uncertainty for five axial capacity pile design methods, namely the API, Fugro, ICP, NGI and UWA methods. A new unified database of pile load tests recently...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29569-MS
... procedures. data quality system reliability mitigation operational efficiency hazard regulation operation personnel transfer upstream oil & gas reliability requirement stakeholder availability probability rov system inspection operational safety usv rov system subsea system...

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