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Keywords: probability
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Proceedings Papers

Publisher: Offshore Technology Conference
Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31970-MS
... potential risk factor that impose the highest risk on casing failure, (4) acknowledgement of the depths most susceptible to casing failure, (5) prediction of the overall probability of casing failure given the information for pre-defined risk factors, and finally (6) have a scheme for mitigating casing...
Proceedings Papers

Publisher: Offshore Technology Conference
Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31850-MS
... & offloading inspection strain gauge fatigue damage probability time series reconstruction fatigue life standard deviation spectrum Background Inspections of offshore assets may be an expensive process. Costs are related to planning, mobilization, inspection, and impact on operations...
Proceedings Papers

Publisher: Offshore Technology Conference
Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31852-MS
... & conference production engineer operation esp damage event artificial intelligence esp list well view webpage probability technology conference esp failure view webpage Introduction The useful life of industrial equipment depends on factors such as the age of the equipment, how frequently...
Proceedings Papers

Publisher: Offshore Technology Conference
Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31853-MS
... approach or reliability-based design is at stake, the calculation of the rating of an individual pipe is not as straightforward. Typically, an acceptable probability of failure or exceedance ( 12 ) – or target reliability level (TRL) – is used to quantify the risk associated to a given resistance...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 2–5, 2022
Paper Number: OTC-31718-MS
... operation management risk and uncertainty assessment artificial intelligence us government risk management upstream oil & gas probabilistic risk assessment effective approach application probability simulation knowledge probability distribution sensitivity analysis nasa information...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, August 16–19, 2021
Paper Number: OTC-31057-MS
... paradigm new age proactive approach offshore technology conference consequence risk reduction end user digital tool probability Oil and gas companies exist in a rapidly changing marketplace where political events can create supply and demand mismatches resulting in shortages or oversupply...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30648-MS
... model pump fault state pump state cross validation training data upstream oil & gas probability monitoring hyperparameter fault state different fault state discharge pressure data triplex pump machine learning artificial intelligence loss function accuracy suction Deep...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30710-MS
... to experimentally obtain smooth probability distributions describing stochastic hydrate formation. Robust, repeatable hydrate nucleation and growth rate probability distributions as a function of induction time and subcooling are measured for various gases, shear rates and inhibitor dosages in systems...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30785-MS
... Abstract Oil and gas production applications demand high reliability, which implies low failure probability over the lifetime of the components. The service environments encompass high pressure high temperature (HPHT) conditions inside and seawater with cathodic protection (CP) systems...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 4–7, 2020
Paper Number: OTC-30659-MS
...). probability renewable energy nenana assessment ocean energy power production discharge turbine offshore technology conference velocity deficit shear stress bed shear stress alaska flow event tanana river array layout modeling current-energy-converter device IEC, International...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29661-MS
... guidance probability fatigue factor floating production system life extension Presentation of OTC-29661-MS Presentation of OTC-29661-MS Recommended Practice 2T , Planning, Designing, and Constructing Tension Leg Platforms , American Petroleum Institute , 3rd Edition, July 2010...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29669-MS
... confident model predictions. This study focuses on landslide geohazard of a site using the physics-based infinite block slope model to estimate the probability of submarine slope failure. The probability of failure against sliding is estimated using the predictions of the infinite slope model under static...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29398-MS
... than deterministic analyses alone, both for design and for reevaluation. Managing geotechnical risks should today become a natural part of the engineer's work. method uncertainty characteristic value risk management failure probability annual probability nadim standard deviation risk...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29514-MS
... Abstract The paper describes two approaches for deriving the mean, standard deviation and probability density function of the method uncertainty for five axial capacity pile design methods, namely the API, Fugro, ICP, NGI and UWA methods. A new unified database of pile load tests recently...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29511-MS
... failure detection confusion matrix upstream oil & gas probability algorithm artificial intelligence subsea system trajectory failure detection system machine learning failure detection neural network offshore technology conference turret environmental condition fpso simulation deep...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29259-MS
... to calculate statistical life and probability of failure of plugs and complete well P&A designs. The paper outlines the approach employed by STEM-flow for evaluating and comparing the effectiveness of different P&A designs, plugging technologies, cement plugs and new sealing materials such as creep...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29384-MS
... ESPs driven by pumps ranging in power from as low as 200 kW to as high as 500 kW were deployed and monitored using an AI-supported predictive maintenance model. The positive results are applicable to offshore applications. In one case, the probability of an ESP failure was determined 12 days before...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29544-MS
... Analysis (PRA) modeling of blowout preventer (BOP) systems. The PRA utilizes a combination of event trees and fault trees to determine the probability of a hazard under a given set of conditions. The fault trees are populated with reliability data from the best available sources. Traditional BOP risk...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29472-MS
... assessment sil 2 safety capability dangerous failure production system calculation systematic capability probability valve actuator fault tree analysis requirement mitigation failure rate failure mode fmeda Presentation of OTC-29472-MS Presentation of OTC-29472-MS Bai , Y...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the Offshore Technology Conference, May 6–9, 2019
Paper Number: OTC-29569-MS
... procedures. data quality system reliability mitigation operational efficiency hazard regulation operation personnel transfer upstream oil & gas reliability requirement stakeholder availability probability rov system inspection operational safety usv rov system subsea system...

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