ABSTRACT:

In recent years, some numerical models to simulate the pollution related phenomena in the Adriatic Sea were developed by ENI Agip Division: a dispersion model, which simulates the dilution and dispersion of various pollutants and reconstructs the spatial distribution and time variations of their concentrations, as well as an oil-spill model to simulate the propagation of oil spilling identifying trajectories and risk areas, are already operational. The results of these models, which allow ENI Agip Division the identification of risk areas, can be transmitted to the interested Public Organizations. The pollution models are interfaced to a hydrodynamic model - calibrated on data measured by the monitoring network realized by ENI Agip Division in 1992 at 13 producing platform in Northern and Central Adriatic Sea - able to simulates the current field on the whole Adriatic basin with a spatial resolution of 7.5 km. A link with the LaMMA meteorological center which supply punctually and systematically the pressure and wind fields forecast over the basin by a suitable numerical model - calibrated on data measured by ENI Agip Division marine network as well as on data collected at coastal meteorological stations - supplied as input to the hydrodynamic model, permits to forecast the Adriatic current field. These results represent the input of the dispersion models: so It is now possible, using the available integrated modeling system, to forecast the evolution and concentrations of pollutants all over the Adriatic Sea up to 60 hours in advance. This paper shows the main results of the experimental phase performed during the last six months of the 2000.

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