... ABSTRACT Handling containers with explosive cargo at the port carries a risk of explosion. The resulting fatalities depend on the blast pressure and its reach. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) evaluates fatality probabilities based on estimated blast pressure. This paper presents a case...

... an integral part in maneuvering supporting systems to improve safety in navigation by decreasing the risk of collision. Collision risk in navigation is often misread due to the rarity of disastrous, individual accidents. Ylitalo (2010) discovered that the probability of an accident in a particular area would...

...-F107 recommended method (hereinafter referred as DNV method). DNV method hardly considers the variation of anchor's size and weight. And it is insensitive to the pipeline geometry and material properties. Based on reliability theory, DNV method is improved to calculate failure probability under...

... impacting. Consequence of failure is given out relating to pipeline suspending, drop anchor impacting and ship aground impacting. Pipeline risk probability is determined. Some specific measures are put forward to guard against submarine pipeline risks take place. settlement drop anchor tonggu...

... of the sea area in the Gulf of Bothnia since 1979 till the present time with subsequent statistical data processing ( http://en.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi ). bothnia investigation probability machine learning ice condition gulf raahe lighthouse probabilistic model ice concentration ice thickness...

... Estimation of Probability of Subsea Installation on the Basis of Wave Statistics Mikhail Alekseevich Kuznetsov, Pavel Vladimirovich Belyaev, Konstantin Aleksandrovich Kornishin and Ilya Aleksandrovich Malyavin LLC «RN- SakhalinNIPImorneft» Moscow, Russia Yaroslav Olegovich Efimov Gubkin Russian...

... The most severely narrowing of the Strait should have an impact on the ice, so the main aim of the research was to evaluate the changes of ice regime of the Bosphor-Vostochny Straits and adjacent bays: Ayaks, Paris. bospor-vostochny strait probability ayak information peninsula novosilsky cape...

... ABSTRACT: Liquefied natural gas has the unique distinction of being the only flammable or hazardous material. Inspection effectiveness may be introduced into the probability of failure calculation by using Bayesian analysis or more directly by modifying the model for the independent variables...

.../hummocky ice fields, grounded hummocks, icebergs, etc.) only. ice-resistant platform extreme ice load variational series hummocky feature interaction ice load ice field marine ice-resistant platform ice cover probability ice feature level ice field calculation distribution function...

... variation in these factors is studied using Monte Carlo simulation. It is shown that the likelihood of exceeding a specific level of maximum bending moment and pile head displacement for a given horizontal load can be used to construct failure probability curves to study the performance of piles due...

... (Donelan et al., 1972; Goda, 1983; Tayfun, 1989). Besides, wave groups may cause exceptional damage to ships and offshore structures. Recent interest in the subject (Tayfun, 1990; Tayfun, 1994; Kit et al., 2000; Cho and Kim, 2005) has been stimulated by the probable effect of nonlinearity on the formation...

... in the process of prior probability and posterior probability exchanges and then improves the model of statistical prediction. The proposed method gives quantitative risk analysis of coastal structural stability. INTRODUCTION Traditional design method of coastal structures always bases on the calculation...

... in the freezing seas (Mazurin, 1990). Trouble-free operation of the subsea pipeline significantly depends on the account of factors of environmental influence on projecting stages. The development of a pipeline network in the arctic regions leads to the growth of probability of a failure of pipelines by drifting...

... wave height foundation offshore classification drilling equipment seismic load platform structure limit state construction probability production platform russian offshore Production Platforms for Russian Offshore G.V. Zhukov, S.L. Karlinsky SOE «Central Design Bureau for Marine...

... in nature are treated probabilistically. The required fracture toughness and the number of specimens to be tested in acceptance testing are considered in terms of its risk level and fracture probability vs. probability of acceptance respectively. INTRODUCTION The current acceptance criteria in general...

... pliability with va- rious diameters supports statio and dynamic reactions under the action of random waves are cited. It is shown that structures dyna- mic reactIons do not practically depend on wave s~ectrum type; probability of exceeding functions reactions mainly ~~nending on wave load velocity...

...) expresses the probability that a crack ini- tiates during the period between Ni _, and Ni . Applying the multinomial distribution, the probability of occurrence of the event E" which was described in the above section, can be written as: (l) where When the crack initiation life is assumed to follow the two...

... are considered. Dynamic analYSIS of the tower to random waves is earned out in the frequency domain utilizing the stochastic linearizations of the nonlinear mooring force and the nonlinear drag force. The probability of failure due to the extreme anchor load is evaluated based on the results of the dynamic...