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Keywords: probability
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Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Fourteenth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, November 22–25, 2020
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-20-212
... probability of an accident in a particular area would not be zero, although there is less or no records of previous incidents. Even though the probability of a direct ship-ship collision is very small, a minor incident can have unfavorable consequences, which can lead to loss of property as well as life at...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Thirteenth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, October 14–17, 2018
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-18-029
... midstream oil & gas anchor weight anchor dnv method strength pipeline geometry limit state equation offshore pipeline impact energy pipeline concentric ring reliability theory probability pipeline failure probability drop point material property variation failure probability...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Eleventh ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, October 12–14, 2014
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-14-056
... impacting. Consequence of failure is given out relating to pipeline suspending, drop anchor impacting and ship aground impacting. Pipeline risk probability is determined. Some specific measures are put forward to guard against submarine pipeline risks take place. settlement drop anchor tonggu...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Tenth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, October 3–5, 2012
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-12-039
... of the sea area in the Gulf of Bothnia since 1979 till the present time with subsequent statistical data processing ( http://en.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi ). bothnia investigation probability machine learning ice condition gulf raahe lighthouse probabilistic model ice concentration ice...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Tenth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, October 3–5, 2012
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-12-076
... period for installation, probability of success per one season and mean time of installation have been determined on the basis of statistics accumulated in RMRs' directories. INTRODUCTION Subsea technologies on the Russian Arctic continental shelf with harsh ice conditions seem to be applicable or at...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Tenth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, October 3–5, 2012
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-12-008
... OBSERVATIONS The most severely narrowing of the Strait should have an impact on the ice, so the main aim of the research was to evaluate the changes of ice regime of the Bosphor-Vostochny Straits and adjacent bays: Ayaks, Paris. bospor-vostochny strait probability ayak information peninsula...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Ninth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, November 14–17, 2010
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-10-011
... ABSTRACT: Liquefied natural gas has the unique distinction of being the only flammable or hazardous material. Inspection effectiveness may be introduced into the probability of failure calculation by using Bayesian analysis or more directly by modifying the model for the independent variables...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Eighth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, November 10–14, 2008
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-08-032
.../hummocky ice fields, grounded hummocks, icebergs, etc.) only. ice-resistant platform extreme ice load variational series hummocky feature interaction ice load ice field marine ice-resistant platform ice cover probability ice feature level ice field calculation distribution function...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Eighth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, November 10–14, 2008
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-08-016
... variation in these factors is studied using Monte Carlo simulation. It is shown that the likelihood of exceeding a specific level of maximum bending moment and pile head displacement for a given horizontal load can be used to construct failure probability curves to study the performance of piles due to the...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Seventh ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, September 17–21, 2006
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-06-009
... zone (Donelan et al., 1972; Goda, 1983; Tayfun, 1989). Besides, wave groups may cause exceptional damage to ships and offshore structures. Recent interest in the subject (Tayfun, 1990; Tayfun, 1994; Kit et al., 2000; Cho and Kim, 2005) has been stimulated by the probable effect of nonlinearity on the...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Seventh ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, September 17–21, 2006
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-06-020
... process of prior probability and posterior probability exchanges and then improves the model of statistical prediction. The proposed method gives quantitative risk analysis of coastal structural stability. INTRODUCTION Traditional design method of coastal structures always bases on the calculation by...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Sixth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, September 12–16, 2004
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-04-021
..., including in the freezing seas (Mazurin, 1990). Trouble-free operation of the subsea pipeline significantly depends on the account of factors of environmental influence on projecting stages. The development of a pipeline network in the arctic regions leads to the growth of probability of a failure of...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The Sixth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, September 12–16, 2004
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-04-040
... wind load platform wave height foundation offshore classification drilling equipment seismic load platform structure limit state construction probability production platform russian offshore Production Platforms for Russian Offshore G.V. Zhukov, S.L. Karlinsky SOE «Central Design...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The First ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, June 24–28, 1990
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-90-123
... nature are treated probabilistically. The required fracture toughness and the number of specimens to be tested in acceptance testing are considered in terms of its risk level and fracture probability vs. probability of acceptance respectively. INTRODUCTION The current acceptance criteria in general...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The First ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, June 24–28, 1990
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-90-099
... pliability with various diameters supports station and dynamic reactions under the action of random waves are cited. It is shown that structures dynamic reactions do not practically depend on wave spectrum type; probability of exceeding functions reactions mainly depending on wave load velocity and inertial...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The First ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, June 24–28, 1990
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-90-109
... distribution notch crack initiation testing method probability crack initiation life observation time estimation test specimen Proceedings ofrhe First PacIfiC/Asia Offshore Mechamcs SymposIum Seoul, Korea, 24-28 June, 1990 COPYright © 1990 by The InternatIOnal SOCiety of Offshore and Polar Engineers...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the The First ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, June 24–28, 1990
Paper Number: ISOPE-P-90-141
... considered. Dynamic analysis of the tower to random waves is earned out in the frequency domain utilizing the stochastic linearizations of the nonlinear mooring force and the nonlinear drag force. The probability of failure due to the extreme anchor load is evaluated based on the results of the dynamic...

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