Abstract

This paper investigates the effects of potential future 1m sea level rise (SLR) on the tides in the Pearl River Estuary (PRE) using a validated 2D tidal model based on MIKE21. The results of 1 m SLR scenario indicate that 1) the co-change lines of amplitude and phase are approximately parallel to the coast; 2) the changes of amplitude and phase in K1 and M2 are more significant inside the PRE than that in the adjacent shelf; 3) the rate of amplitudes increasing and phases decreasing in river outlets and the flood-ebb asymmetry inside the PRE could be enhanced due to SLR.

Keywords:
level rise, adjacent shelf, discharge, huangmao bay, potential future sea level rise, jitimen, tide, tidal amplitude, china, sea level rise
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2014. International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers
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