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Keywords: forecast
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Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 34th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 16–21, 2024
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-24-609
... ABSTRACT In order to improve the accuracy of short-term forecasting of ships, this paper constructs LSTM neural network models with single feature and multi-feature input respectively, studies and predicts the longitudinal motion of ships in waves, analyzes the influence of motion parameters...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 34th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 16–21, 2024
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-24-317
...Proceedings of the Thirty-fourth (2024) International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference Rhodes, Greece, June 16 21, 2024 Copyright © 2024 by the International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers (ISOPE) ISBN 978-1-880653-78-4; ISSN 1098-6189 www.isope.org Research on a Fast Forecast Model...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 33rd International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 19–23, 2023
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-23-297
.... The planning prior to the offshore operations does, therefore, require accurate weather forecasting. The weather conditions may be of particular concern for operations in Arctic waters. During the season when polar low pressures can be expected in the Arctic, reliable weather forecasts exceeding one day may...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 32nd International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 5–10, 2022
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-22-268
... ABSTRACT Nowadays, the problem of short- and long-term forecasts in the Russian Arctic becomes important for global logistics and engineering. Here, we present our first findings on the application of machine learning (ML) methods to oceanographic data. The Barents Sea is the region of our...
Proceedings Papers
Tatiana A. Alekseeva, Ruslan I. May, Valery Ye. Fedyakov, Yevgeny I. Makarov, Sergey V. Klyachkin, Yevgeny A. Grishin, Nina A. Krupina
Paper presented at the The 32nd International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 5–10, 2022
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-22-303
... ice condition ship information ice cover navigation forecast optimal route satellite image ice chart navigation route ice expert ice zone thickness kara gate strait equation ice-covered water nickel class vessel ABSTRACT Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute has a long...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 32nd International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 5–10, 2022
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-22-321
... ABSTRACT Arctic shipping along the Northern Sea Route (NSR) relies on reliable and precise sea ice concentration (SIC) information. However, the SIC forecast used to assist NSR shipping is often inaccurate. This study proposes a VAE based Non-Autoregressive Transformer model for the long-term...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 31st International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 20–25, 2021
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-21-3235
... areas using the amplitude and phase of the different tide gauger. Then forecasting water depth is rendered of the port area and wharf terminal areas, for the port management and related planning. Research Methods and Steps The tidal elevation is an important parameter in the design of coastal...
Proceedings Papers
Christos Makris, Vasilis Baltikas, Yannis Androulidakis, Yannis Kontos, Nikolaos Nagkoulis, Ioannis Kazakis, Theofanis Karambas, Andreas Papadimitriou, Anastasios Metallinos, Michalis Chondros, Maria-eirini Emmanouilidou, Dimitra Malliouri, Georgios Klonaris, Vicky Tsoukala, Constantine Memos, Giannis Spiliopoulos, Dimitris Zissis
Paper presented at the The 31st International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 20–25, 2021
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-21-3271
... Abstract This paper presents a novel initiative for reliable high–resolution forecasts on prevailing sea states at 50 important ports worldwide (Accu-Waves; http://accuwaves.eu/) . Its goal is to support safe navigation, unhampered vessel approaching to busy harbored areas, and secure ship...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 31st International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 20–25, 2021
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-21-3234
... for their significance in globalization. However, forecasting WLFs of artificial/non–artificial waterways have tremendous economic benefits for locals. Forecasting WLFs can be seen as a time series problem. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have shown promises of time series forecast and are well–documented. This study...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 31st International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 20–25, 2021
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-21-1295
... Abstract An iceberg drift model was developed for offshore oil and gas operations. Increasing forecasting accuracy is critical for making appropriate downtime decisions. Three sources of ocean current data were used to run test simulations of the model: estimated from observed iceberg drift...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 30th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, October 11–16, 2020
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-20-3131
... resource development support platform motion response upstream oil & gas ship amplitude modal superposition method wave angle midsection structural safety freight & logistics services hydroelasticity oblique wave extreme value spectrum coordinate system forecast Hydroelasticity...
Proceedings Papers
Sooyoul Kim, Masahide Takeda, Hajime Mase, Yoshinosuke Kurahara, Chisato Hara, Yamato Nishiyama, Koji Kawasaki
Paper presented at the The 29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 16–21, 2019
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-19-575
... ABSTRACT In the present study, a 168 hrs-forecast wave model is developed to predict significant wave heights at four stations, Japan, using the Group Method of Data Handling (GMDH). The GMDH is one of machine learning (like artificial neural network) and has an advantage of the convenience...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 29th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 16–21, 2019
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-19-738
... ABSTRACT The extended lift operation to deliver the Wellbay module (M5) combined with the Flare Tower (M8) from the Miller Platform in the North Sea to the shore using the Semi-Submersible Crane Vessel S7000 was sensitive to the wave environment. Weather and response forecasts were used...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 27th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 25–30, 2017
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-17-610
... ABSTRACT The influence of the accuracy of the weather forecast on the availability and production losses for a given maintenance policy are investigated in this paper. This is done by varying the look ahead time, with accurate weather forecast, of a simulation model. The results show...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 27th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 25–30, 2017
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-17-687
... ABSTRACT The article briefly presents a novel methodology of weather window estimation for offshore operations and mainly focuses on effects of met-ocean condition forecasting uncertainties on weather window predictions when using the proposed methodology. It is demonstrated that the proposed...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 27th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 25–30, 2017
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-17-667
... to maximize power absorption while minimizing the structural loads on the WEC system. Furthermore, a Kalman filter and autoregressive model were used to estimate and forecast the wave exciting force and predict the future dynamics of the WEC. The WEC's power-take-off time-averaged power and structural loads...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 26th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 26–July 2, 2016
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-16-292
... models are also applied to the initial nonstationary series without making any decomposition. The performance of both forecasting procedures is assessed by means of well-known error measures. It should be noted that FIS/ANFIS models are coupled for the first time with a nonstationary time series...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 26th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 26–July 2, 2016
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-16-115
... A Comparison of Wave Height Forecasts against Wave Measurements for a Location in the Barents Sea and in the Norwegian Sea Adekunle Peter Orimolade 1, Birgitte Rugaard Furevik 2, Ove Tobias Gudmestad 1 1 Department of Mechanical and Structural Engineering and Materials Science, University...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 26th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 26–July 2, 2016
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-16-219
... meteorology tide level radial sand ridge jianggang reservoir characterization acta oceanological sinica high tide level zhang forecast lbgc topography south yellow sea simulation disaster liyashan meteorology condition numerical simulation water level Analysis on the Cause...
Proceedings Papers
Paper presented at the The 26th International Ocean and Polar Engineering Conference, June 26–July 2, 2016
Paper Number: ISOPE-I-16-493
... damage and the expected development referring to the marine forecast condition (Hs, Tp and Heading) in order to provide a quantitative basis for decision on long time lasting as well as timely operations to be initiated. This is crucial to optimize the offshore vessel operations and support decisions...
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