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Keywords: prediction
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Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0431
... ABSTRACT: Being able to predict the dimensions of excavation damage zones (EDZs) is crucial for the design of permeability-sensitive structures. This study focuses on predicting excavation-induced damage depth using a machine learning method called multi-layer perceptron (MLP). The inputs...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0426
... ABSTRACT: Accurate prediction of dynamic pressures is essential for wellbore integrity analysis in deep water wells and wells with narrow operational windows. During the start-up of circulation, a higher circulating pressure is needed due to the gelation effect of drilling fluid. A coupled...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0406
... ABSTRACT: Data-driven fracturing production prediction relies on geological engineering parameters to forecast production indicators. These parameters are traditionally derived from manual summarization and statistical analysis of well logging curves, potentially leading to inaccuracies due...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0439
... subdiscipline mechanical earth model calibration statistical concept ray breakout classification prediction probability machine learning mem brier score accuracy scenario statistics wikipedia regime drilling probabilistic forecasting ARMA 24 439 Improve Mechanical Earth Model Calibration...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0423
... ABSTRACT: The Thrust-Penetration Gradient (TPG) is an essential tool in analyzing and predicting the performance of Tunnel Boring Machines (TBMs). It evaluates TBM efficiency, reflecting geomechanical dynamics during tunneling. The TPG effectively captures the complex relationship between...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0447
... ABSTRACT: A Graph Neural Network (GNN) approach is introduced for predicting the effective properties of rocks. The Mapper algorithm was employed to convert rock microstructures into graph datasets, effectively capturing the topological features of geomaterials. Two separate GNNs were trained...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0627
... ABSTRACT: The growing need for better reservoir characterization methods in unconventional hydrocarbon extraction, geothermal energy production, and carbon sequestration has led to a demand for more accurate and reliable petrophysical data prediction techniques. However, data standardization...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0664
..., the temporary plugging ball is subjected to stronger drag force in the horizontal direction, and the steering tendency is slightly slower than that of small displacement. Based on SVM and RF two machine learning models to predict the blocking results, analyze and predict different temporary plugging ball...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0635
... ABSTRACT: This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the correlation between static and dynamic mechanical properties of sedimentary rocks from Australian basins. By leveraging both empirical and machine learning techniques, we provide valuable insights into the predictive capabilities...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0687
... necessitates consideration of lateral confinement in predicting penetration rate. Yet, most of the proposed methods for estimating penetration rate are of phenomenological nature, with only a few based on theoretical analysis for which it is not straightforward to extend to confinement conditions...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0758
.... The prediction of formation pore pressure is a core factor of drilling design optimization and risk prevention. In order to improve the prediction accuracy on the basis of existing pre-drilling formation pore pressure prediction methods, the logging data and actual drilling data of the drilled wells were...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0749
... ABSTRACT: Accurate prediction of ROP is the premise and key to increase drilling speed. Artificial intelligence provides technical means for accurate ROP prediction. In this paper, the influence of borehole trajectory and drilling parameters on ROP is considered, and the prediction model...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0064
... ABSTRACT: Surface ground deformations due to mining are dynamic in nature and depend, among others, on the rate of mining. There are many formulations that can calculate and predict ground deformation due to mining. The majority of these models can accurately predict final deformations, i.e...
Proceedings Papers

Paper presented at the 58th U.S. Rock Mechanics/Geomechanics Symposium, June 23–26, 2024
Paper Number: ARMA-2024-0053
... mining takes place (geology, stress conditions, mining procedures, etc.), any applicable model must be flexible, adaptable, and dynamic to provide a range of predictions with acceptable accuracy. This paper discusses the results and model validation of using multivariate regression analysis to analyze...

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